AI Sports Intelligence
Sharper predictions.
Smarter decisions.
SharpDeck analyzes the game, compares its probability with the market, and turns the difference into a clear, explainable decision.
Detroit
Moneyline -118
- Model probability
- 69.1%
- Market probability
- 53.4%
- Edge
- +15.8 pts
- Expected value
- +$0.13 / $1
Why SharpDeck likes it
- Team strength
- Starting pitcher
- Recent form
- Home field
The core idea
Prediction, value, and decision are not the same thing.
SharpDeck separates who is likely to win from whether the price is worth it — then decides.
Who is more likely to win?
A sport-specific model estimates the true probability of each outcome from the factors that actually move a game.
Is the available market price attractive?
SharpDeck de-vigs the market to a fair baseline and measures where the price diverges from the model.
What would SharpDeck do?
Probability and value combine into a clear, sized, explainable action — not just a lean.
Today's Deck
Your daily surface of opportunities.
SharpDeck doesn't simply rank picks. It evaluates probability, price, expected value, risk, and portfolio exposure.
Top Opportunity
FeaturedHighest-conviction single edge on the slate.
Best Single
The strongest standalone decision.
Best 2-Pick
A balanced pair weighed for correlation.
Best 3-Pick
Three decisions optimized together.
Balanced Deck
Diversified exposure across the slate.
High-Upside Deck
Concentrated for asymmetric upside.
Combinations are constructed for balanced or high-upside exposure. They are never presented as guaranteed or loss-proof.
Live intelligence
The decision doesn't end at kickoff.
Helm continues evaluating the game as conditions change, so a decision can evolve in real time.
Explainability
Every decision should have a reason.
SharpDeck shows the factors behind a decision — and never invents factors that were not available to the model.
Supporting the prediction
- Team strength differential
- Starting pitcher edge
- Recent form
Supporting the value
- Model probability above de-vigged market
- Price still available at entry
Opposing evidence
- Bullpen fatigue
- Weather trending unfavorable
Missing / uncertain
- Late lineup not yet posted
- Line movement still developing
Transparent performance
Don't trust the model. Verify it.
Every official prediction is timestamped, locked before the game, settled afterward, and included in the historical record.
Prospective public tracking launching soon.
Coverage
Sport-specific models, not one-size-fits-all AI.
Each sport is powered by a native model tuned to what actually moves that game.
Team strength, starting pitcher, park factors, and bullpen state feed a baseball-native model.
Matchup efficiency, situational tendencies, and injury context drive a football-native model.
Expected-goals dynamics, form, and lineup strength power a soccer-native model.
Powered by Helm
SharpDeck is the product. Helm is the engine.
Helm is SharpDeck's proprietary decision engine — the technology that turns raw signals into decisions.
- Sport-specific forecasting
- Market consensus
- Executable prices
- Expected value
- Calibration
- Position sizing
- Live game state
- Performance history
How it works
From sports data to a tracked result.
- 01Sports dataSport-specific inputs are collected and normalized.
- 02Model probabilityA native model estimates outcome probabilities.
- 03Market comparisonMarket prices are de-vigged to a fair baseline.
- 04Expected valueThe gap between model and market becomes EV.
- 05SharpDeck decisionHelm turns EV and risk into a sized action.
- 06Tracked resultThe prediction is locked, settled, and recorded.
Pricing
Start free. Upgrade when you're ready.
Three tiers, from public intelligence to portfolio-grade optimization.
Free
Explore SharpDeck with public intelligence and the transparent track record.
Coming soon
- Public predictions
- Public performance record
- Limited daily intelligence
- Explainability previews
Pro
Most popularThe full daily surface: Today's Deck, live decisions, and market value.
Coming soon
- Today's Deck
- Full predictions
- Live in-game decisions
- Market value & edge
- Alerts
- Advanced performance analytics
Edge
Portfolio-grade tools for building and optimizing decks across a slate.
Coming soon
- Portfolio optimization
- Advanced analytics
- Combination optimizer
- Full model diagnostics
- Priority signals
Plans and pricing are being finalized. Join the waitlist to lock in early access.
FAQ
Questions, answered.
See the game differently.
Make smarter sports decisions with SharpDeck. Join the waitlist for early access.