Product
One product, from prediction to decision.
SharpDeck turns sport-specific probabilities and live market prices into clear, explainable, tracked decisions.
A decision surface, not a stat page.
Each decision shows the model probability, the market baseline, the edge, and the reasons — so you always know why.
Detroit
Moneyline -118
- Model probability
- 69.1%
- Market probability
- 53.4%
- Edge
- +15.8 pts
- Expected value
- +$0.13 / $1
Why SharpDeck likes it
- Team strength
- Starting pitcher
- Recent form
- Home field
What's inside
Everything you need to go from probability to a decision you can explain.
Today's Deck
A daily surface of opportunities ranked by probability, price, expected value, and portfolio fit — not just a lean.
Pregame forecasts
Sport-specific model probabilities for each game, locked before first pitch or kickoff.
Live forecasts
Probabilities and decisions that update as the game state changes.
Market intelligence
De-vigged market baselines and the exact points where price diverges from the model.
Decision engine
Helm combines probability, value, and risk into a sized, explainable action.
Explainability
The factors supporting a prediction and its value — plus opposing and missing evidence.
Portfolio tools
Build and optimize decks across a slate with correlation and exposure in mind.
Performance tracking
Every official prediction is timestamped, locked, settled, and recorded.