College football predictions
College football win probabilities, every Saturday.
SharpDeck forecasts the college football slate before kickoff, follows it through halftime, and publishes how every forecast landed.
The last 30 days
Graded in public, losses included.
68.1% of 138 graded College football forecasts called the winner.
24 hours before
The early forecast: a first win probability with the inputs available a day out.
70.7% correct
135–56 over the last 30 days
60 minutes before
The main forecast, calculated independently once lineups and prices settle. This is the headline record.
68.1% correct
94–44 over the last 30 days
During the game
The live forecast, taken once the game is under way and graded as its own record.
70.3% correct
83–35 over the last 30 days
Figures come straight from the public record API at request time. Nothing is rounded up or filtered.
The SharpDeck model
One forecast, published before it counts.
Each forecast is locked at its checkpoint and graded against the result. Nothing is recalculated after the game, and nothing is removed from the record.
Full-slate boards with fixtures, live scores and win probabilities, plus a public record broken out by checkpoint.
What you get for College football
- Boards & scores
- Available
- Model forecast
- Limited
- Live analysis
- Coming soon
- AI analysis
- Coming soon
Forecast ≠ price
Every forecast carries its price.
A forecast names the more likely outcome; the price says what backing it pays. Each forecast is recorded with the best sportsbook price when it was published and settled as 1 unit at that price, so the record shows both whether it was right and what it returned. The board puts the fair price beside the best price, so a likely winner at a poor price is easy to spot.
Which college football games are covered?
The board carries the weekly slate with fixtures and scores; forecast coverage depends on the data available for each game, and the board shows which games have one.
When are college football forecasts published?
24 hours and 60 minutes before kickoff, with a live forecast at halftime where the game supports it. Each is graded as its own record.
Why is the halftime record higher than pregame?
A halftime forecast already knows the score, so it is an easier call. SharpDeck keeps the two records apart rather than blending them into one flattering number.
Where can I check the results?
On this page for the last 30 days, and in full on the public record — every graded forecast, wins and losses.
Guides
Read the numbers with confidence.
- GuidesHow sports prediction models work — and how to tell a good oneProbabilities, calibration and the Brier score: how forecasts are made, graded and trusted.Read the guide →
- GuidesClosing line value: the best early signal of a good betWhy the price when betting closes is the market's sharpest estimate, and how beating it is measured.Read the guide →
- The recordA record that includes the missesHow forecast accuracy and forecast units stay separate—and why the denominator matters.Read the guide →
A clearer view starts here
Get closer
to the game.
Explore the boards, understand the forecasts and follow the record — with everything switched on for your first 7 days.
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