Soccer predictions
Soccer match probabilities, home, draw and away.
Three-way forecasts for select competitions, published before kickoff and graded in the public record.
The last 30 days
Graded in public, losses included.
54.8% of 1,336 graded Soccer forecasts called the winner.
24 hours before
The early forecast: a first win probability with the inputs available a day out.
53.7% correct
673–580 over the last 30 days
60 minutes before
The main forecast, calculated independently once lineups and prices settle. This is the headline record.
54.8% correct
732–604 over the last 30 days
During the game
The live forecast, taken once the game is under way and graded as its own record.
61.9% correct
566–348 over the last 30 days
Figures come straight from the public record API at request time. Nothing is rounded up or filtered.
The SharpDeck model
One forecast, published before it counts.
Each forecast is locked at its checkpoint and graded against the result. Nothing is recalculated after the game, and nothing is removed from the record.
Competition-by-competition boards with scores, match probabilities and the best sportsbook price, on the leagues where the model is provisioned.
What you get for Soccer
- Boards & scores
- Available
- Model forecast
- Limited
- Live analysis
- Coming soon
- AI analysis
- Coming soon
Forecast ≠ price
Every forecast carries its price.
A forecast names the more likely outcome; the price says what backing it pays. Each forecast is recorded with the best sportsbook price when it was published and settled as 1 unit at that price, so the record shows both whether it was right and what it returned. The board puts the fair price beside the best price, so a likely winner at a poor price is easy to spot.
Which soccer leagues does SharpDeck cover?
Select competitions where the model is provisioned, including MLS, Liga MX and the Brasileirão. The board lists the covered matches; competitions without a model show scores only.
How are draws handled?
Soccer forecasts are three-way: home, draw and away each get a probability, and the record grades the call against the final result.
When are soccer forecasts published?
24 hours and 60 minutes before kickoff. Each is locked when published and graded as its own record.
Can I see how the soccer forecasts have done?
Yes. The last 30 days are shown on this page, read live from the public record, and the full history is open to anyone without an account.
Guides
Read the numbers with confidence.
- GuidesImplied probability: what a betting price believesTurn any price into a probability, see the sportsbook margin hiding in it, and compare it with a forecast.Read the guide →
- GuidesFair odds and no-vig prices: what a bet should costHow to strip the sportsbook margin out of a price, and how a model's fair price is set.Read the guide →
- ForecastsHow to read a forecast without confusing it with a promiseProbability, timing and the difference between an estimate and a recommendation.Read the guide →
A clearer view starts here
Get closer
to the game.
Explore the boards, understand the forecasts and follow the record — with everything switched on for your first 7 days.
Card required · nothing charged for 7 days · cancel any time