CFB · REGULAR · 10/27/2026
Sam Houston Bearkats at Missouri State Bears
Missouri State Bears · 62.0% model probability
Final: 3 – 24
Sports prediction track record
See what was recorded before the result was known. Every forecast is scored for accuracy, and for what 1 unit on it returned at the best price when it was published.
On the board now
1 game forecast todayFirst up 8:00 PM ET
| Time | Matchup | Mkt | Seg | Line | Best | Edge | Str | Band | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upcoming · 1 | |||||||||||
| 8:00 PM | MIL @ TB | ML | FG | — | -136BR | Model columns are in every plan — start a free trial to see them | |||||
Upcoming · 1
Recently settled
The latest settled 60-minute forecasts from each sport, graded on the final result, with the best sportsbook price when each was published. Wins and losses alike — the tally is the full record over the last 30 days, not just these games.
4016W · 2029L · last 30 days · 66% right
How often a frozen forecast named the winner, checkpoint by checkpoint. Accuracy only — no price and no units here; the units record prices each forecast separately.
last 30 days
24 hours out
57.5%
1197 of 2081 graded
60 minutes out
66.9%
4322 of 6465 graded
In play
80.1%
4266 of 5327 graded
An in-play forecast is taken after the game has started and already reflects the score, so it is not comparable to the ones published before it. A hit rate is not a return either: a correct forecast at a short price can still lose money over a season.
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Published winner forecasts, scored separately at each checkpoint. Periods follow game or tournament start dates. Golf has its own tournament cohorts.
Forecast record
94–44
68.1% over 138 graded
Forecast accuracy
68.1%
Correct
94
Incorrect
44
Graded
138
Pending
0
Ties: 0
Voids: 0
Ungraded: 0
Recorded missing forecasts: 59
A recorded missing forecast is a game we did not price at that checkpoint. We never generate one after the fact, so the gap is published rather than filled.
As of 10/28/2026, 3:34:55 AM Eastern. Metrics and rows come from the same report snapshot.
60-minute pregame · 68.1% · 94 correct / 44 incorrect
24-hour early · 70.7% · 135 correct / 56 incorrect
Live in-game (at halftime) · 70.3% · 83 correct / 35 incorrect
The complete cohort
CFB · REGULAR · 10/27/2026
Missouri State Bears · 62.0% model probability
Final: 3 – 24
CFB · REGULAR · 10/27/2026
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · 52.9% model probability
Final: 35 – 21
CFB · REGULAR · 10/24/2026
Utah Utes · 70.3% model probability
Final: 13 – 21
CFB · REGULAR · 10/24/2026
New Mexico Lobos · 72.4% model probability
Final: 16 – 21
CFB · REGULAR · 10/22/2026
Memphis Tigers · 68.9% model probability
Final: 34 – 41
CFB · REGULAR · 10/22/2026
James Madison Dukes · 84.7% model probability
Final: 31 – 34
CFB · REGULAR · 10/22/2026
Liberty Flames · 70.3% model probability
Final: 34 – 6
CFB · REGULAR · 10/21/2026
New Mexico State Aggies · 55.0% model probability
Final: 30 – 24
CFB · REGULAR · 10/20/2026
South Alabama Jaguars · 58.7% model probability
Final: 13 – 20
CFB · REGULAR · 10/20/2026
Florida International Panthers · 74.6% model probability
Final: 26 – 23
CFB · REGULAR · 10/20/2026
Delaware Blue Hens · 62.9% model probability
Final: 38 – 61
CFB · REGULAR · 10/16/2026
Washington Huskies · 56.0% model probability
Final: 38 – 26
CFB · REGULAR · 10/16/2026
App State Mountaineers · 51.1% model probability
Final: 35 – 32
CFB · REGULAR · 10/16/2026
Memphis Tigers · 61.3% model probability
Final: 17 – 31
CFB · REGULAR · 10/15/2026
Texas State Bobcats · 79.8% model probability
Final: 27 – 66
CFB · REGULAR · 10/15/2026
East Carolina Pirates · 65.8% model probability
Final: 17 – 30
CFB · REGULAR · 10/15/2026
Old Dominion Monarchs · 54.7% model probability
Final: 23 – 15
CFB · REGULAR · 10/14/2026
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers · 52.3% model probability
Final: 16 – 3
CFB · REGULAR · 10/14/2026
Kennesaw State Owls · 57.1% model probability
Final: 21 – 24
CFB · REGULAR · 10/13/2026
Jacksonville State Gamecocks · 58.1% model probability
Final: 24 – 27
cfb-pregame-ml-v1 · cfb-freeze-v1 · 118 graded · 76 correct · 42 incorrect · 64.4%
cfb-scoring-ridge-v1 · cfb-freeze-v1 · 20 graded · 18 correct · 2 incorrect · 90.0%